Last week we looked at hindsight bias, the tendency to believe that market outcomes were obvious once they’ve already happened. Hindsight makes us feel more in control than we actually are. But when ...

In June 1999, the US Fed began an 11-month rate hiking cycle that took the overnight rate from 4.75 to 6.5% by May 2000. The stock market did not bottom until September 2002, when the S&P reached 688 ...

Bitcoin is increasingly trading on fiscal and regulatory signals as policy-driven liquidity expectations reshape market ...

I once read a book on child rearing where an expert mentioned how behavior in children rotated in six-month cycles. Basically, what he said was that a child who is a ...

There’s a term going around Instagram and TikTok that you won’t find in any psychology textbook but has nonetheless become pervasive. That term is “cycle-breaker.” A cycle-breaker is somebody who sees ...